Leagues / CHILE / Primera División
Primera División
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 33 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
39.4%
1X2
13/33
48.5%
O/U 2.5
16/33
51.5%
BTTS
17/33
27.3%
Exact score
9/33
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
23
Settled
60.9%
Hit rate
14/23
1.90
Avg odds
+10.7%
ROI
+2.5u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=10 80.0% HIT · AVG 1.86 · +45.0% ROI
BTTS · N=7 71.4% HIT · AVG 1.72 · +24.6% ROI
HOME WIN · N=5 20.0% HIT · AVG 1.92 · -55.2% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 3.35 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-10.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
6
Bets
67%
Hit
+28.3%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
40%
Hit
-19.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
10
Bets
70%
Hit
+19.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 5 PICKS · 4 HIT · 1 MISS
14 JUN Concepcion vs D. Limache Over 2.5 +2% 3–2 HIT14 JUN Union La Calera vs U. de Chile — NO PICK 2–2 —14 JUN U. Catolica vs U. Concepcion Over 2.5 +7% 5–1 HIT13 JUN Coquimbo Unido vs OHiggins Over 2.5 +28% 0–0 MISS13 JUN Everton vs Palestino BTTS -6% 1–2 HIT13 JUN Colo-Colo vs Cobresal Over 2.5 -4% 3–0 HITMay 2026 // 7 PICKS · 4 HIT · 3 MISS
31 MAY D. Limache vs Coquimbo Unido Over 2.5 +8% 2–3 HIT31 MAY Huachipato vs U. Catolica BTTS +2% 0–3 MISS31 MAY OHiggins vs Everton — NO PICK 2–3 —30 MAY La Serena vs Colo-Colo BTTS -8% 2–4 HIT30 MAY U. de Chile vs Concepcion — NO PICK 2–1 —29 MAY Cobresal vs Nublense BTTS +2% 0–1 MISS24 MAY Concepcion vs Huachipato Away +88% 2–0 MISS24 MAY La Serena vs D. Limache BTTS -13% 4–1 HIT24 MAY U. Catolica vs Colo-Colo BTTS +7% 1–2 HIT