Leagues / AUSTRALIA / Northern NSW NPL
Northern NSW NPL
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 49 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
42.9%
1X2
21/49
75.5%
O/U 2.5
37/49
77.6%
BTTS
38/49
42.9%
Exact score
21/49
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
19
Settled
78.9%
Hit rate
15/19
1.48
Avg odds
+18.7%
ROI
+3.6u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=9 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · +43.6% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=4 25.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · -60.3% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.71 · +71.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.43 · -26.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · +44.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
4
Bets
100%
Hit
+57.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-60.3%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
100%
Hit
+51.8%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+18.3%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
July 2026 // 2 PICKS · 2 HIT · 0 MISS
3 JUL Cooks Hill Utd vs Valentine Over 2.5 -7% 3–1 HIT3 JUL Edgeworth E. vs Kahibah HO1.5 2–1 HITJune 2026 // 13 PICKS · 8 HIT · 5 MISS
28 JUN Broadmeadow vs Weston Bears Over 2.5 -5% 5–1 HIT27 JUN Charlestown A. vs Belmont Swansea Over 2.5 +2% 1–3 HIT27 JUN Edgeworth E. vs Adamstown R. Over 2.5 -7% 3–2 HIT27 JUN Valentine vs Lambton Jaffas AO1.5 1–1 MISS24 JUN Kahibah vs Adamstown R. BTTS -7% 1–2 HIT24 JUN Charlestown A. vs Cooks Hill Utd Over 2.5 +1% 2–2 HIT23 JUN Edgeworth E. vs Lambton Jaffas Over 2.5 -5% 3–2 HIT21 JUN Kahibah vs Charlestown A. AO1.5 4–1 MISS20 JUN Lambton Jaffas vs Adamstown R. Over 2.5 -10% 1–1 MISS20 JUN Cooks Hill Utd vs Weston Bears Over 2.5 -12% 3–3 HIT20 JUN Belmont Swansea vs Broadmeadow AO1.5 1–0 MISS20 JUN Valentine vs Edgeworth E. AO1.5 2–1 MISS14 JUN Charlestown A. vs Lambton Jaffas AO1.5 1–3 HIT