Today / Australia - Northern NSW NPL / Edgeworth E. vs Lambton Jaffas

Edgeworth E. vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Tuesday, June 23, 2026, 10:00

Edgeworth E.

PPG 2.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lambton Jaffas

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.6%0-24.4%0-32.9%0-4+2.2%1 1-04.3%1-18.3%1-28.0%1-35.2%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.9%2-17.5%2-27.2%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.3%3-14.5%3-24.4%3-32.8%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.1%4+-23.0%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.7% 2.30 -17.9%

Draw 22.1% 3.40 -14.9%

Away win 42.2% 2.50 +5.5%

Over 2.5 66.3% 1.44 -4.5%

Over 3.5 43.6% 2.00 -12.8%

BTTS 63.5% 1.36 -13.6%

Win probability 1X2

Edgeworth E. (H) 35.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -17.9%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -14.9%

Lambton Jaffas (A) 42.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +5.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 4.5%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.5%

A 42% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Edgeworth E.1.8

Lambton Jaffas1.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EDGEWORTH E. · PPG 2.40

LAMBTON JAFFAS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.40) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Edgeworth E. face Lambton Jaffas in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Tuesday, June 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Edgeworth E. a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Lambton Jaffas 42%, so Lambton Jaffas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Edgeworth E. and 1.9 for Lambton Jaffas (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Edgeworth E. are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 2.00 for Lambton Jaffas. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +15.1%.

Edgeworth E. vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Northern NSW NPL Predictions