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Kahibah vs Charlestown A. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 05:00

Kahibah

PPG 0.67 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Charlestown A.

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 68.1% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.0%0-24.4%0-33.3%0-4+3.1%1 1-03.2%1-17.2%1-28.0%1-35.9%1-4+5.5%2 2-02.9%2-16.4%2-27.2%2-35.3%2-4+5.0%3 3-01.7%3-13.9%3-24.3%3-33.2%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.6%4+-22.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 34.4% 3.90 +34.2%

Draw 22.2% 3.80 -9.4%

Away win 43.4% 1.67 -27.5%

Over 2.5 67.3% 1.36 -8.5%

Over 3.5 47.5% 1.79 -15.0%

BTTS 68.1% 1.35 -8.1%

Win probability 1X2

Kahibah (H) 34.4%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +34.2%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -9.4%

Charlestown A. (A) 43.4%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -27.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 28.1%

Bet Hit 85%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob68.1%

A 43% / xG 1.8-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.2%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 1–3 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kahibah1.8

Charlestown A.2.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KAHIBAH · PPG 0.67

CHARLESTOWN A. · PPG 1.17

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Match Preview & Prediction

Kahibah face Charlestown A. in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kahibah a 34% chance, the draw 22% and Charlestown A. 43%, so Charlestown A. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kahibah and 2.2 for Charlestown A. (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kahibah are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.17 for Charlestown A.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +34.2%. This match finished 4-1.

Kahibah vs Charlestown A. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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