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Kahibah vs Adamstown R. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Matchday 13 ·Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 10:00

Kahibah

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Adamstown R.

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 68.6% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-14.0%0-24.0%0-32.7%0-4+2.2%1 1-03.7%1-17.5%1-27.7%1-35.2%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.5%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.2%3-14.6%3-24.6%3-33.1%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.4%4+-23.4%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.5% 36.4% 2.75 +8.6%

Draw 22.1% 26.7% 3.75 -10.3%

Away win 38.4% 48.8% 2.05 -21.3%

Over 2.5 66.3% 71.4% 1.40 -7.2%

Over 3.5 48.3% 51.5% 1.94 -6.3%

BTTS 68.6% 73.5% 1.36 -6.7%

Home O1.5 54.4% 53.5% 1.87 +1.7%

Away O1.5 49.8% 61.3% 1.63 -18.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 18.7%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob68.6%

A 38% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 1–2✓ 7.7%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kahibah1.9

Adamstown R.2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KAHIBAH · PPG 1.00

ADAMSTOWN R. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kahibah (H) 39.5%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +8.6%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -10.3%

Adamstown R. (A) 38.4%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -21.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kahibah face Adamstown R. in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kahibah a 40% chance, the draw 22% and Adamstown R. 38%, so Kahibah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Kahibah and 2.0 for Adamstown R. (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kahibah are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Adamstown R.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Kahibah vs Adamstown R. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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