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Charlestown A. vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 7 ·Wednesday, June 24, 2026, 10:00

Charlestown A.

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.1% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.9%0-23.5%0-32.8%0-4+3.0%1 1-02.5%1-15.9%1-27.1%1-35.7%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.5%2-15.9%2-27.1%2-35.7%2-4+6.0%3 3-01.6%3-13.9%3-24.7%3-33.8%3-4+4.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-13.1%4+-23.7%4+-33.0%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.2% 1.85 -34.9%

Draw 21.6% 3.80 -10.8%

Away win 43.2% 3.10 +33.9%

Over 2.5 72.1% 1.40 +0.9%

Over 3.5 51.1% 2.02 +3.2%

BTTS 68.6% 1.44 -1.2%

Win probability 1X2

Charlestown A. (H) 35.2%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -34.9%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -10.8%

Cooks Hill Utd (A) 43.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +33.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 5.5%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob68.6%

A 43% / xG 2.0-2.4 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.1%

#2 1–2 7.1%

#3 1–1 5.9%

#4 2–1 5.9%

#5 2–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Charlestown A.2.0

Cooks Hill Utd2.4

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.1% · O3.5 PROB 51.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CHARLESTOWN A. · PPG 1.00

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlestown A. face Cooks Hill Utd in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlestown A. a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Cooks Hill Utd 43%, so Cooks Hill Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Charlestown A. and 2.4 for Cooks Hill Utd (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlestown A. are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Cooks Hill Utd. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +94.2%.

Charlestown A. vs Cooks Hill Utd Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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