Leagues / SWITZERLAND / Super League
Super League
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Super League predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
3 SEPT18:30 FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion Over 2.5 67% 1.50 +0%3 SEPT18:30 FC Lugano vs Servette FC Over 2.5 64% 1.67 +6%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 52 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
50.0%
1X2
26/52
71.2%
O/U 2.5
37/52
61.5%
BTTS
32/52
28.8%
Exact score
15/52
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
11
Settled
63.6%
Hit rate
7/11
1.56
Avg odds
-1.9%
ROI
-0.2u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=9 77.8% HIT · AVG 1.53 · +19.9% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.90 · -100.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.53 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+40.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
6
Bets
50%
Hit
-20.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+15.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 4 PICKS · 2 HIT · 2 MISS
2 SEPT Grasshoppers vs FC ST. Gallen Over 2.5 +1% 2–0 MISS2 SEPT FC Thun vs Lausanne Over 2.5 +3% 0–0 MISS2 SEPT FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz Over 2.5 -8% 2–1 HIT1 SEPT FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys Over 2.5 -4% 2–4 HITAugust 2026 // 11 PICKS · 10 HIT · 1 MISS
30 AUG FC Sion vs FC Lugano Over 2.5 -2% 1–2 HIT30 AUG FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Over 2.5 -9% 3–4 HIT29 AUG Servette FC vs FC Luzern BTTS -15% 1–1 HIT29 AUG Lausanne vs FC Zurich Over 2.5 -7% 2–3 HIT29 AUG BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 Over 2.5 -9% 3–3 HIT22 AUG FC Luzern vs Lausanne Over 2.5 -10% 1–0 MISS22 AUG FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 BTTS -9% 1–2 HIT9 AUG FC Lugano vs FC Zurich HO1.5 5–0 HIT9 AUG FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern Over 2.5 -8% 2–2 HIT9 AUG FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun BTTS -24% 4–2 HIT8 AUG Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys AO1.5 2–2 HIT