Today / Switzerland - Super League / Grasshoppers vs FC ST. Gallen

Grasshoppers vs FC ST. Gallen Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Matchday 6 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 18:30

Grasshoppers logo
Grasshoppers
PPG 0.98 · HOME
LAST 5
DLLL ·
VS
UPCOMING
FC ST. Gallen logo
FC ST. Gallen
PPG 1.99 · AWAY
LAST 5
WWDL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗
ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.1%0-25.4%0-33.8%0-4+3.3%1 1-03.9%1-18.2%1-28.7%1-36.1%1-4+5.3%2 2-03.1%2-16.6%2-27.0%2-34.9%2-4+4.2%3 3-01.7%3-13.5%3-23.7%3-32.6%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.0%4+-22.1%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 30.3% 23.1% 4.33 +31.2%
Draw 21.3% 23.8% 4.20 -6.3%
Away win 48.4% 59.9% 1.67 -19.2%
Over 2.5 68.4% 67.6% 1.48 +1.2%
Over 3.5 49.4% 46.5% 2.15 +6.2%
BTTS 63.5% 67.6% 1.48 -6.0%
Home O1.5 47.9% 39.2% 2.55 +22.1%
Away O1.5 58.6% 66.7% 1.50 -12.1%

League track record

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 63%
Score Hit 29%
ROI 19.9%
Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.5%

A 48% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.7%
#2 1–1 8.2%
#3 2–1 6.6%
#4 2–2 7.0%
#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grasshoppers1.6
FC ST. Gallen2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GRASSHOPPERS · PPG 0.98

FC ST. GALLEN · PPG 1.99

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

xG gap -0.51 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Grasshoppers (H) 30.3%
ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +31.2%
Draw 21.3%
ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.3%
FC ST. Gallen (A) 48.4%
ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -19.2%

Season Statistics average per match · 4 matches · 2026

Grasshoppers ▾ lower is better FC ST. Gallen

Attack

12.8
Shots
22.0
3.2
Shots on target
7.2
5.5
Shots off target
7.5
4.0
Blocked shots
7.2
6.8
Shots inside box
15.5
6.0
Shots outside box
6.5
25.5%
Shooting accuracy
33.0%
38.5%
Goals per shot on target
34.5%
1.25
Goals
2.50
1.63
xG for
2.47

Defence

13.0
Shots faced
11.5
5.8
Shots on target faced
4.0
3.00
Goals conceded
2.25
1.82
xG against
1.41
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
1.8

Control

46.0%
Possession
55.2%
383
Passes
366
289
Accurate passes
265
75.4%
Pass accuracy
72.2%
4.8
Corners
6.2
5.2
Corners faced
4.8
1.0
Offsides
1.8

Discipline

14.0
Fouls
11.2
3.0
Yellow cards
1.5
0.25
Red cards
0.00

Match Preview & Prediction

Grasshoppers face FC ST. Gallen in Switzerland - Super League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grasshoppers a 30% chance, the draw 21% and FC ST. Gallen 48%, so FC ST. Gallen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Grasshoppers and 2.1 for FC ST. Gallen (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grasshoppers are averaging 0.98 points per game versus 1.99 for FC ST. Gallen. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +22.7%.

PredictVantage

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