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Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 16:00

Lausanne

PPG 1.23 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

BSC Young Boys

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-15.8%0-26.3%0-34.6%0-4+4.1%1 1-03.9%1-18.4%1-29.1%1-36.6%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.8%2-16.1%2-26.6%2-34.8%2-4+4.3%3 3-01.4%3-12.9%3-23.2%3-32.3%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.5%4+-21.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.3% 31.3% 3.20 -11.4%

Draw 22.5% 24.4% 4.10 -4.7%

Away win 52.2% 51.3% 1.95 +1.8%

Over 2.5 63.4% 72.5% 1.38 -12.5%

Over 3.5 41.0% 50.0% 2.00 -18.0%

BTTS 61.8% 74.1% 1.35 -16.6%

Home O1.5 45.4% 50.0% 2.00 -9.2%

Away O1.5 54.7% 63.7% 1.57 -14.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 19.9%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob61.8%

A 52% / xG 1.4-2.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 1–3 6.6%

#4 2–2✓ 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lausanne1.4

BSC Young Boys2.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUSANNE · PPG 1.23

BSC YOUNG BOYS · PPG 1.73

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.72 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Lausanne (H) 25.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -11.4%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -4.7%

BSC Young Boys (A) 52.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +1.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lausanne face BSC Young Boys in Switzerland - Super League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lausanne a 25% chance, the draw 23% and BSC Young Boys 52%, so BSC Young Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lausanne and 2.2 for BSC Young Boys (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lausanne are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.73 for BSC Young Boys. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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