Leagues / SWEDEN / Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Division 2 - Södra Götaland
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 21 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
28.6%
1X2
6/21
71.4%
O/U 2.5
15/21
57.1%
BTTS
12/21
38.1%
Exact score
8/21
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
19
Settled
47.4%
Hit rate
9/19
1.53
Avg odds
-27.8%
ROI
-5.3u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=6 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.53 · +2.8% ROI
BTTS · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · -15.2% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=4 25.0% HIT · AVG 1.51 · -60.8% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.82 · -13.5% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.70 · -100.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.36 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-25.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+61.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
15
Bets
40%
Hit
-40.1%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 7 PICKS · 2 HIT · 5 MISS
7 JUN Oskarshamns vs Osterlen HO1.5 1–1 MISS7 JUN Karlshamn vs Lilla Torg BTTS -20% 2–0 MISS7 JUN Staffanstorp Un vs Vaxjo Norra Over 2.5 -7% 2–2 HIT6 JUN Linero vs Berga Over 2.5 -5% 1–0 MISS6 JUN Rappe vs IFK Trelleborg BTTS -28% 0–1 MISS6 JUN Nosaby vs Karlskrona BTTS -20% 3–1 HIT4 JUN Solvesborg vs Torns HO1.5 1–3 MISSMay 2026 // 8 PICKS · 3 HIT · 5 MISS
31 MAY Karlskrona vs Lilla Torg Home -24% 1–1 MISS30 MAY Osterlen vs Staffanstorp Un BTTS -12% 3–1 HIT30 MAY IFK Trelleborg vs Oskarshamns Over 2.5 -7% 1–1 MISS30 MAY Nosaby vs Karlshamn HO1.5 2–2 HIT29 MAY Vaxjo Norra vs Rappe HO1.5 0–2 MISS29 MAY Torns vs Linero AO1.5 2–1 MISS29 MAY Berga vs Solvesborg HO1.5 3–2 HIT24 MAY Lilla Torg vs Berga Away +17% 2–1 MISS