Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland / Växjö Norra vs Österlen

Växjö Norra vs Österlen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland · Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Växjö Norra

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Österlen

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.35, combined xG 2.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-19.2%0-24.8%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.3%1-112.7%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-18.8%2-24.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.9%3-14.1%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.5% — — —

BTTS 53.5% — — —

Home O1.5 38.6% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 3.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 12.3%

#3 0–0 8.9%

#4 2–1 8.8%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Växjö Norra1.4

Österlen1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VÄXJÖ NORRA · PPG 1.75

ÖSTERLEN · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.35, combined xG 2.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Växjö Norra (H) 43.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Österlen (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Växjö Norra face Österlen in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Växjö Norra a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Österlen 29%, so Växjö Norra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Växjö Norra and 1.0 for Österlen (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Växjö Norra are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.44 for Österlen. This match finished 3-0.

Växjö Norra vs Österlen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland Predictions