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Växjö Norra vs Sölvesborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland · Matchday 15 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 16:00

Växjö Norra

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sölvesborg

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.7%0-22.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.8%1-19.6%1-25.9%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.3%3-16.6%3-24.1%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-15.3%4+-23.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% 59.9% 1.67 -16.7%

Draw 21.6% 25.3% 3.95 -8.8%

Away win 28.5% 24.4% 4.10 +10.1%

Over 2.5 63.1% 70.4% 1.42 -10.4%

Over 3.5 39.3% 48.8% 2.05 -19.4%

BTTS 60.9% 70.4% 1.42 -13.5%

Home O1.5 56.5% 69.0% 1.45 -18.1%

Away O1.5 36.6% 42.0% 2.38 -12.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 3.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.9%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–2✓ 5.9%

#4 2–0 7.8%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Växjö Norra2.0

Sölvesborg1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VÄXJÖ NORRA · PPG 2.00

SÖLVESBORG · PPG 0.86

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Växjö Norra (H) 49.9%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -16.7%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -8.8%

Sölvesborg (A) 28.5%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Växjö Norra face Sölvesborg in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Växjö Norra a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Sölvesborg 28%, so Växjö Norra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Växjö Norra and 1.2 for Sölvesborg (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Växjö Norra are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.86 for Sölvesborg. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +7.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Växjö Norra vs Sölvesborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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