Leagues / SWEDEN / Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Division 2 - Norra Götaland
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 21 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
57.1%
1X2
12/21
52.4%
O/U 2.5
11/21
47.6%
BTTS
10/21
38.1%
Exact score
8/21
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
21
Settled
57.1%
Hit rate
12/21
1.48
Avg odds
-16.3%
ROI
-3.4u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=11 54.5% HIT · AVG 1.51 · -18.4% ROI
BTTS · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.45 · -28.8% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.52 · -5.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.28 · -100.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.28 · +28.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.62 · +62.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+48.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+0.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
15
Bets
60%
Hit
-12.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 6 PICKS · 2 HIT · 4 MISS
11 JUN Motala vs Kumla BTTS -19% 0–0 MISS7 JUN Herrestads vs Motala Over 2.5 -1% 1–0 MISS7 JUN Kumla vs Ahlafors Over 2.5 -9% 1–1 MISS7 JUN IF Karlstad B vs IFK Skovde AO1.5 0–2 HIT6 JUN Tord vs Lidkoping Over 2.5 +8% 0–1 MISS5 JUN Grebbestad vs Husqvarna Away -8% 1–2 HITMay 2026 // 9 PICKS · 6 HIT · 3 MISS
31 MAY Husqvarna vs Stenungsund HO1.5 3–1 HIT30 MAY Tord vs Ahlafors AO1.5 1–2 HIT30 MAY Kumla vs Herrestads BTTS -15% 1–2 HIT29 MAY Skara vs IFK Skovde AO1.5 1–0 MISS29 MAY Lidkoping vs IF Karlstad B Over 2.5 -1% 0–2 MISS23 MAY IF Karlstad B vs Ahlafors Over 2.5 -9% 1–4 HIT23 MAY Stenungsund vs Lidkoping Over 2.5 -13% 6–0 HIT23 MAY Grebbestad vs Motala BTTS -16% 2–0 MISS22 MAY IFK Skovde vs Kumla Over 2.5 -13% 2–1 HIT