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Kumla vs Husqvarna Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 18 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 16:30

Kumla

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

2 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Husqvarna

PPG 2.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.4% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-117.7%0-214.3%0-37.7%0-4+4.5%1 1-06.5%1-110.5%1-28.5%1-34.6%1-4+2.7%2 2-01.9%2-13.1%2-22.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.4%3-10.6%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.2% 21.7% 4.60 -20.8%

Draw 25.3% 27.8% 3.60 -5.3%

Away win 60.4% 60.6% 1.65 -0.3%

Over 2.5 44.8% 55.6% 1.80 -19.4%

Over 3.5 25.6% 33.3% 3.00 -13.9%

BTTS 43.6% 57.1% 1.75 -23.7%

Home O1.5 30.6% 29.0% 3.45 +5.6%

Away O1.5 48.5% 58.8% 1.70 -17.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -5.6%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-6

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob43.6%

A 60% / xG 0.6-1.6 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.7%

#2 0–2 14.3%

#3 0–0 10.9%

#4 1–1 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kumla0.6

Husqvarna1.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KUMLA · PPG 1.50

HUSQVARNA · PPG 2.75

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.03 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kumla (H) 14.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -20.8%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -5.3%

Husqvarna (A) 60.4%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kumla face Husqvarna in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kumla a 14% chance, the draw 25% and Husqvarna 60%, so Husqvarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Kumla and 1.6 for Husqvarna (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kumla are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.75 for Husqvarna. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 2-6.

Kumla vs Husqvarna Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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