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Husqvarna vs Grebbestad Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Husqvarna

PPG 2.56 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Grebbestad

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLDL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-13.5%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.2%1-18.2%1-23.7%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.8%2-19.6%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.4%3-17.5%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.6%4+-17.7%4+-23.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.2% 67.6% 1.48 -3.5%

Draw 19.3% 24.4% 4.10 -12.5%

Away win 15.5% 18.2% 5.50 -8.8%

Over 2.5 62.0% 67.6% 1.48 -8.2%

Over 3.5 39.3% 45.5% 2.20 -13.5%

BTTS 54.3% 64.5% 1.55 -15.8%

Home O1.5 65.8% 70.4% 1.42 -6.6%

Away O1.5 25.7% 33.3% 3.00 -13.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -5.6%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.3%

H 65% / xG 2.3-0.9 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.2%

#4 3–0 8.4%

#5 1–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Husqvarna2.3

Grebbestad0.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HUSQVARNA · PPG 2.56

GREBBESTAD · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.45 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Husqvarna (H) 65.2%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -3.5%

Draw 19.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -12.5%

Grebbestad (A) 15.5%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -8.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Husqvarna face Grebbestad in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Husqvarna a 65% chance, the draw 19% and Grebbestad 16%, so Husqvarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Husqvarna and 0.9 for Grebbestad (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Husqvarna are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 1.50 for Grebbestad. This match finished 3-2.

Husqvarna vs Grebbestad Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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