Toppserien

NORWAY · 43 MATCHES TRACKED · 15 MAY 2026 – 1 SEPT 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 41 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

68.3%

1X2

28/41

61.0%

O/U 2.5

25/41

61.0%

BTTS

25/41

34.1%

Exact score

14/41

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

50.0%

Hit rate

1/2

1.62

Avg odds

-21.5%

ROI

-0.4u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.67 · -100.0% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +57.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+57.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

Match log

41 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

September 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS

1 SEPT LSK Kvinner W vs Bodø / Glimt W HO1.5 1–1 MISS

August 2026 // 14 PICKS · 11 HIT · 3 MISS

31 AUG Hønefoss W vs Fortuna Ålesund W AO1.5 0–1 MISS 31 AUG Røa W vs Lyn W BTTS -15% 1–3 HIT 22 AUG Molde W vs LSK Kvinner W Over 2.5 1–0 MISS 22 AUG Fortuna Ålesund W vs Haugesund W HO1.5 5–1 HIT 22 AUG Stabæk W vs Bodø / Glimt W HO1.5 7–1 HIT 21 AUG Brann W vs Røa W HO1.5 5–1 HIT 20 AUG Rosenborg W vs Lyn W BTTS -14% 3–2 HIT 19 AUG Vålerenga W vs Hønefoss W HO1.5 2–1 HIT 15 AUG Lyn W vs Fortuna Ålesund W Over 2.5 1–2 HIT 15 AUG Haugesund W vs Stabæk W AO1.5 1–1 MISS 15 AUG LSK Kvinner W vs Rosenborg W Over 2.5 -5% 1–2 HIT 15 AUG Røa W vs Molde W BTTS 1–1 HIT 15 AUG Hønefoss W vs Brann W AO1.5 0–3 HIT 14 AUG Bodø / Glimt W vs Vålerenga W AO1.5 1–4 HIT