Toppserien

NORWAY · 26 MATCHES TRACKED · 15 MAY 2026 – 21 JUN 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 26 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

65.4%

1X2

17/26

57.7%

O/U 2.5

15/26

53.8%

BTTS

14/26

26.9%

Exact score

7/26

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

33.3%

Hit rate

2/6

1.45

Avg odds

-48.0%

ROI

-2.9u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.55 · -100.0% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +57.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · -100.0% ROI

BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.55 · +55.0% ROI

HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.08 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+57.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

20%

Hit

-69.0%

ROI

Match log

26 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

June 2026 // 11 PICKS · 8 HIT · 3 MISS

21 JUN Brann W vs LSK Kvinner W HO1.5 0–0 MISS 20 JUN Aalesund W vs Bodo/Glimt W Home 8–1 HIT 20 JUN Molde W vs Haugesund W Over 2.5 3–3 HIT 20 JUN Honefoss W vs Lyn W Over 2.5 1–0 MISS 20 JUN Stabaek W vs Roa W Home -14% 0–1 MISS 20 JUN Rosenborg W vs Valerenga W BTTS -7% 3–2 HIT 13 JUN LSK Kvinner W vs Aalesund W Over 2.5 0–3 HIT 13 JUN Stabaek W vs Molde W Over 2.5 2–1 HIT 13 JUN Roa W vs Honefoss W BTTS 1–1 HIT 13 JUN Lyn W vs Rosenborg W — NO PICK 4–4 —13 JUN Haugesund W vs Bodo/Glimt W Over 2.5 2–1 HIT 13 JUN Valerenga W vs Brann W Away +7% 0–3 HIT

May 2026 // 3 PICKS · 2 HIT · 1 MISS

31 MAY Lyn W vs Valerenga W Over 2.5 +0% 2–0 MISS 30 MAY Aalesund W vs Brann W Away 1–2 HIT 30 MAY Haugesund W vs Roa W Over 2.5 2–1 HIT