Today / Norway - Toppserien / Vålerenga W vs Hønefoss W
Vålerenga W vs Hønefoss W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien
Matchday 13 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 16:00
// Model verdict
Home Over 1.5
xG gap +2.51 for Home, form 1.71 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.5% · O3.5 PROB 48.1%
Form & verdict
VÅLERENGA W · PPG 1.71
HØNEFOSS W · PPG 0.33
xG gap +2.51 for Home, form 1.71 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Vålerenga W face Hønefoss W in Norway - Toppserien on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vålerenga W a 68% chance, the draw 16% and Hønefoss W 16%, so Vålerenga W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Vålerenga W and 0.9 for Hønefoss W (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vålerenga W are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.33 for Hønefoss W. This match finished 2-1.