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Haugesund W vs Stabæk W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Matchday 12 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Haugesund W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stabæk W

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -1.12 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-18.0%0-28.9%0-36.6%0-4+6.2%1 1-04.0%1-18.8%1-29.8%1-37.3%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.2%2-14.9%2-25.4%2-34.0%2-4+3.7%3 3-00.8%3-11.8%3-22.0%3-31.5%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.8% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 56.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.2% — — —

Over 3.5 40.5% — — —

BTTS 61.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob61.2%

A 56% / xG 1.1-2.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.9%

#4 1–3 7.3%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund W1.1

Stabæk W2.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND W · PPG 1.50

STABÆK W · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.12 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund W (H) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stabæk W (A) 56.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund W face Stabæk W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund W a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Stabæk W 56%, so Stabæk W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Haugesund W and 2.2 for Stabæk W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.67 for Stabæk W.

Haugesund W vs Stabæk W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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