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Hønefoss W vs Brann W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Matchday 12 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Hønefoss W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brann W

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.86 for Away, form 1.20 vs 3.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-18.0%0-213.2%0-314.4%0-4+27.2%1 1-01.0%1-13.4%1-25.6%1-36.2%1-4+11.6%2 2-00.2%2-10.7%2-21.2%2-31.3%2-4+2.5%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.7% — — —

Draw 16.1% — — —

Away win 71.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 28.6% — — —

Away O1.5 78.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob44.6%

A 71% / xG 0.4-3.3 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 14.4%

#2 0–2 13.2%

#3 0–4 11.9%

#4 0–5 7.8%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hønefoss W0.4

Brann W3.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HØNEFOSS W · PPG 1.20

BRANN W · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.86 for Away, form 1.20 vs 3.00

Win probability 1X2

Hønefoss W (H) 12.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brann W (A) 71.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hønefoss W face Brann W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hønefoss W a 13% chance, the draw 16% and Brann W 71%, so Brann W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Hønefoss W and 3.3 for Brann W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hønefoss W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 3.00 for Brann W.

Hønefoss W vs Brann W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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