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LSK Kvinner W vs Rosenborg W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Matchday 12 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

LSK Kvinner W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rosenborg W

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-18.7%0-28.2%0-35.1%0-4+3.7%1 1-05.5%1-110.4%1-29.8%1-36.1%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.3%2-16.2%2-25.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.3%3-12.5%3-22.3%3-31.4%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.8% 14.3% 7.00 +56.8%

Draw 22.2% 21.1% 4.75 +3.3%

Away win 50.0% 72.5% 1.38 -31.0%

Over 2.5 63.1% 66.7% 1.50 -5.3%

Over 3.5 39.1% 45.7% 2.19 -14.4%

BTTS 61.6% 61.0% 1.64 +1.0%

Home O1.5 31.7% 27.9% 3.58 +13.5%

Away O1.5 53.8% 73.5% 1.36 -26.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob61.6%

A 50% / xG 1.2-1.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.2%

#4 0–1 8.7%

#5 2–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LSK Kvinner W1.2

Rosenborg W1.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LSK KVINNER W · PPG 1.00

ROSENBORG W · PPG 1.83

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.69 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

LSK Kvinner W (H) 27.8%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +56.8%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +3.3%

Rosenborg W (A) 50.0%

ODDS 1.38 · IMPLIED 72.5% EV -31.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

LSK Kvinner W face Rosenborg W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LSK Kvinner W a 28% chance, the draw 22% and Rosenborg W 50%, so Rosenborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for LSK Kvinner W and 1.9 for Rosenborg W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LSK Kvinner W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.83 for Rosenborg W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +13.5%.

LSK Kvinner W vs Rosenborg W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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