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Molde W vs LSK Kvinner W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Molde W

PPG 0.83 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWDW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

LSK Kvinner W

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.7%0-25.9%0-33.4%0-4+2.3%1 1-05.7%1-110.1%1-28.9%1-35.2%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.6%2-26.7%2-33.9%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.2%3-13.8%3-23.4%3-32.0%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.0%4+-21.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 38.1% — — —

Over 2.5 62.7% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 34%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 1–2 8.9%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Molde W1.5

LSK Kvinner W1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MOLDE W · PPG 0.83

LSK KVINNER W · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Molde W (H) 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

LSK Kvinner W (A) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Molde W face LSK Kvinner W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Molde W a 39% chance, the draw 23% and LSK Kvinner W 38%, so Molde W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Molde W and 1.8 for LSK Kvinner W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Molde W are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.60 for LSK Kvinner W. This match finished 1-0.

Molde W vs LSK Kvinner W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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