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Røa W vs Molde W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Matchday 12 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Røa W

PPG 0.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Molde W

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-110.9%0-28.7%0-34.6%0-4+2.6%1 1-07.5%1-111.9%1-29.4%1-35.0%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.1%2-16.5%2-25.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.5%3-12.4%3-21.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 45.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.5%

A 46% / xG 1.1-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–1 10.9%

#4 0–0 6.9%

#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Røa W1.1

Molde W1.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RØA W · PPG 0.40

MOLDE W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Røa W (H) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Molde W (A) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Røa W face Molde W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Røa W a 30% chance, the draw 25% and Molde W 46%, so Molde W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Røa W and 1.6 for Molde W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Røa W are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.50 for Molde W.

Røa W vs Molde W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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