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Røa W vs Lyn W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:00

Røa W

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDLL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lyn W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-114.6%0-210.7%0-35.2%0-4+2.6%1 1-08.4%1-112.3%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.5%2-15.2%2-23.8%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.0%3-11.5%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.4% 28.6% 3.50 -6.7%

Draw 26.2% 30.3% 3.30 -8.1%

Away win 48.3% 54.1% 1.85 -10.6%

Over 2.5 50.4% 58.8% 1.70 -14.3%

Over 3.5 28.7% 37.0% 2.70 -13.5%

BTTS 52.9% 62.5% 1.60 -15.4%

Home O1.5 30.8% 34.6% 2.89 -11.0%

Away O1.5 42.2% 56.8% 1.76 -25.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 34%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.9%

A 48% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.6%

#2 1–1 12.3%

#3 0–2 10.7%

#4 0–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Røa W0.8

Lyn W1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RØA W · PPG 0.50

LYN W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.62 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Røa W (H) 25.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.7%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -8.1%

Lyn W (A) 48.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -10.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Røa W face Lyn W in Norway - Toppserien on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Røa W a 25% chance, the draw 26% and Lyn W 48%, so Lyn W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Røa W and 1.5 for Lyn W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Røa W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Lyn W. This match finished 1-3.

Røa W vs Lyn W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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