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Fortuna Ålesund W vs Haugesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Fortuna Ålesund W

PPG 2.17 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Haugesund W

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDDL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.09 for Home, form 2.17 vs 0.83 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-11.8%0-20.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.8%1-15.4%1-22.5%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.8%2-18.2%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.2%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-014.1%4+-113.1%4+-26.1%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.1% — — —

Draw 16.4% — — —

Away win 14.5% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 47.6% — — —

BTTS 60.4% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 24.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 34%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.9%

#2 2–0 8.8%

#3 3–1 8.2%

#4 1–1 5.4%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fortuna Ålesund W3.0

Haugesund W0.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FORTUNA ÅLESUND W · PPG 2.17

HAUGESUND W · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.09 for Home, form 2.17 vs 0.83 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Fortuna Ålesund W (H) 69.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Haugesund W (A) 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fortuna Ålesund W face Haugesund W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fortuna Ålesund W a 69% chance, the draw 16% and Haugesund W 14%, so Fortuna Ålesund W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Fortuna Ålesund W and 0.9 for Haugesund W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fortuna Ålesund W are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.83 for Haugesund W. This match finished 5-1.

Fortuna Ålesund W vs Haugesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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