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Stabæk W vs Bodø / Glimt W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Stabæk W

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDW

7 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Bodø / Glimt W

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.73 for Home, form 1.17 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-11.2%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.3%1-13.9%1-21.0%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.9%2-16.4%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.0%3-16.9%3-21.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-024.2%4+-113.0%4+-23.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.6% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 7.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 45.4% — — —

BTTS 48.3% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 16.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 34%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.0%

#2 2–0 11.9%

#3 4–0 10.6%

#4 1–1 3.9%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stabæk W3.3

Bodø / Glimt W0.5

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

STABÆK W · PPG 1.17

BODØ / GLIMT W · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.73 for Home, form 1.17 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Stabæk W (H) 76.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bodø / Glimt W (A) 7.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stabæk W face Bodø / Glimt W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stabæk W a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Bodø / Glimt W 8%, so Stabæk W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Stabæk W and 0.5 for Bodø / Glimt W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stabæk W are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.17 for Bodø / Glimt W. This match finished 7-1.

Stabæk W vs Bodø / Glimt W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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