Leagues / NORWAY / 3. Division - Girone 4

3. Division - Girone 4

NORWAY · 12 MATCHES TRACKED · 23 MAY 2026 – 31 MAY 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 12 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

50.0%

1X2

6/12

66.7%

O/U 2.5

8/12

58.3%

BTTS

7/12

33.3%

Exact score

4/12

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

75.0%

Hit rate

3/4

1.41

Avg odds

+8.5%

ROI

+0.3u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.33 · -32.0% ROI

HOME O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.36 · +36.0% ROI

AWAY O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.62 · +62.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+36.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

67%

Hit

-0.7%

ROI

Match log

12 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 12 PICKS · 7 HIT · 5 MISS

31 MAY Viking B vs Brodd HO1.5 4–1 HIT 31 MAY Stabaek B vs Mandalskamerat. AO1.5 8–4 HIT 30 MAY Haugesund B vs Flekkeroy AO1.5 3–4 HIT 30 MAY Vindbjart vs Madla Over 2.5 -13% 2–2 HIT 30 MAY Vag vs Staal Jorpeland Over 2.5 -17% 0–1 MISS 29 MAY Hinna vs Varhaug AO1.5 0–1 MISS 26 MAY Staal Jorpeland vs Stabaek B HO1.5 1–2 MISS 26 MAY Brodd vs Odd B HO1.5 2–1 HIT 26 MAY Åkra vs Haugesund B BTTS 2–7 HIT 25 MAY Varhaug vs Vag HO1.5 0–1 MISS 25 MAY Madla vs Hinna HO1.5 3–0 HIT 23 MAY Mandalskamerat. vs Viking B Over 2.5 0–0 MISS