Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Viking II vs Madla

Viking II vs Madla Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 16:00

Viking II

PPG 2.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Madla

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.5%0-21.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.7%1-16.5%1-24.5%1-32.1%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.3%2-18.6%2-25.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.5%3-17.6%3-25.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-19.5%4+-26.6%4+-33.0%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.5% — — —

Draw 18.9% — — —

Away win 21.6% — — —

Over 2.5 69.5% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.3%

H 60% / xG 2.6-1.4 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 6.5%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 2–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viking II2.6

Madla1.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.5% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKING II · PPG 2.71

MADLA · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.27 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Viking II (H) 59.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Madla (A) 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Viking II face Madla in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viking II a 60% chance, the draw 19% and Madla 22%, so Viking II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Viking II and 1.4 for Madla (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viking II are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.57 for Madla.

Viking II vs Madla Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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