Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Vindbjart vs Åkra

Vindbjart vs Åkra Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Vindbjart

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Åkra

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.19 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-11.6%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.4%1-15.0%1-22.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.4%2-17.9%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.8%3-18.2%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-015.0%4+-114.0%4+-26.6%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.3% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.0% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 26.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob61.6%

H 68% / xG 3.1-0.9 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.8%

#2 2–0 8.4%

#3 3–1 8.2%

#4 2–1 7.9%

#5 4–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vindbjart3.1

Åkra0.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VINDBJART · PPG 2.00

ÅKRA · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.19 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vindbjart (H) 68.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Åkra (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vindbjart face Åkra in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vindbjart a 68% chance, the draw 17% and Åkra 15%, so Vindbjart are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Vindbjart and 0.9 for Åkra (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vindbjart are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.88 for Åkra.

Vindbjart vs Åkra Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 Predictions