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Flekkerøy vs Brodd Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Flekkerøy

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brodd

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.55 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.7%0-21.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.5%1-15.1%1-23.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.2%2-17.6%2-25.5%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.2%3-17.6%3-25.5%3-32.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-08.3%4+-112.0%4+-28.7%4+-34.2%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.1% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 71.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.2% — — —

BTTS 68.4% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob68.4%

H 61% / xG 3.0-1.5 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 5.1%

#4 4–1 5.7%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flekkerøy3.0

Brodd1.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FLEKKERØY · PPG 3.00

BRODD · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.55 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Flekkerøy (H) 61.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brodd (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flekkerøy face Brodd in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flekkerøy a 61% chance, the draw 17% and Brodd 22%, so Flekkerøy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Flekkerøy and 1.5 for Brodd (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flekkerøy are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Brodd.

Flekkerøy vs Brodd Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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