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Haugesund II vs Vindbjart Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

Haugesund II

PPG 1.43 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWWL

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Vindbjart

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.8%0-24.4%0-33.4%0-4+3.4%1 1-02.9%1-16.7%1-27.9%1-36.1%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.6%2-16.1%2-27.1%2-35.5%2-4+5.6%3 3-01.6%3-13.6%3-24.2%3-33.3%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.4%4+-22.9%4+-32.2%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 46.6% — — —

Over 2.5 72.0% — — —

Over 3.5 51.2% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.7%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.1%

#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund II1.8

Vindbjart2.3

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 51.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND II · PPG 1.43

VINDBJART · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.54 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund II (H) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vindbjart (A) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund II face Vindbjart in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund II a 32% chance, the draw 21% and Vindbjart 47%, so Vindbjart are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Haugesund II and 2.3 for Vindbjart (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund II are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.50 for Vindbjart. This match finished 0-4.

Haugesund II vs Vindbjart Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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