Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Odd II vs Hinna

Odd II vs Hinna Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 13:00

Odd II logo
Odd II
PPG 0.71 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Hinna logo
Hinna
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.9%0-21.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-02.6%1-15.1%1-24.9%1-33.2%1-4+2.4%2 2-03.5%2-16.8%2-26.6%2-34.3%2-4+3.3%3 3-03.2%3-16.1%3-26.0%3-33.9%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-17.9%4+-27.7%4+-35.0%4+-4+3.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.4%
Draw 20.0%
Away win 28.5%
Over 2.5 74.0%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 69.4%
Home O1.5 63.4%
Away O1.5 53.8%

League track record

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 76%
Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.4%

H 51% / xG 2.7-1.9 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 6.8%
#2 2–2 6.6%
#3 3–1 6.1%
#4 3–2 6.0%
#5 1–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odd II2.7
Hinna1.9

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.0% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ODD II · PPG 0.71

HINNA · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Odd II (H) 51.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hinna (A) 28.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Odd II face Hinna in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odd II a 51% chance, the draw 20% and Hinna 28%, so Odd II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Odd II and 1.9 for Hinna (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odd II are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 0.88 for Hinna.

PredictVantage

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