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Haugesund II vs Viking II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 16:00

Haugesund II

PPG 1.17 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Viking II

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.2%0-23.1%0-32.9%0-4+4.0%1 1-01.6%1-14.4%1-26.3%1-35.9%1-4+8.3%2 2-01.6%2-14.5%2-26.4%2-36.0%2-4+8.5%3 3-01.1%3-13.1%3-24.4%3-34.1%3-4+5.8%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.5%4+-23.6%4+-33.4%4+-4+4.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.5% — — —

Draw 20.1% — — —

Away win 49.4% — — —

Over 2.5 75.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 57.7% — — —

Away O1.5 66.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob69.4%

A 49% / xG 2.0-2.8 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.4%

#2 1–2 6.3%

#3 2–3 6.0%

#4 1–3 5.9%

#5 1–1 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund II2.0

Viking II2.8

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND II · PPG 1.17

VIKING II · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.78 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund II (H) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viking II (A) 49.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund II face Viking II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund II a 31% chance, the draw 20% and Viking II 49%, so Viking II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Haugesund II and 2.8 for Viking II (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund II are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.71 for Viking II. This match finished 4-2.

Haugesund II vs Viking II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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