Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Brodd vs Viking II

Brodd vs Viking II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 12:00

Brodd

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Viking II

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.2%0-23.6%0-32.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-04.8%1-18.3%1-27.2%1-34.2%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.2%3-15.5%3-24.8%3-32.8%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.3%4+-23.7%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.8% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 34.5% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1✓ 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brodd2.0

Viking II1.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BRODD · PPG 1.62

VIKING II · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Brodd (H) 43.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viking II (A) 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brodd face Viking II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brodd a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Viking II 35%, so Brodd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Brodd and 1.7 for Viking II (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brodd are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.62 for Viking II. This match finished 3-1.

Brodd vs Viking II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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