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Hinna vs Våg Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 17:00

Hinna

PPG 1.29 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Våg

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.2%0-23.3%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.3%1-18.5%1-26.8%1-33.6%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.5%2-18.7%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.7%3-16.0%3-24.8%3-32.5%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.9%4+-23.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 28.8% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.9% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 58.5% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 1–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 6.8%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hinna2.0

Våg1.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HINNA · PPG 1.29

VÅG · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hinna (H) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Våg (A) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hinna face Våg in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hinna a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Våg 29%, so Hinna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Hinna and 1.6 for Våg (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hinna are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.57 for Våg. This match finished 3-0.

Hinna vs Våg Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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