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Åkra vs Flekkerøy Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Åkra

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Flekkerøy

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.6%0-25.3%0-34.1%0-4+4.0%1 1-03.3%1-17.5%1-28.6%1-36.5%1-4+6.4%2 2-02.6%2-16.0%2-26.9%2-35.3%2-4+5.2%3 3-01.4%3-13.2%3-23.7%3-32.8%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.8%4+-22.1%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 49.5% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 48.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 48.5% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 6.0%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 1–3 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Åkra1.6

Flekkerøy2.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ÅKRA · PPG 1.00

FLEKKERØY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.69 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Åkra (H) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Flekkerøy (A) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Åkra face Flekkerøy in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Åkra a 29% chance, the draw 21% and Flekkerøy 50%, so Flekkerøy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Åkra and 2.3 for Flekkerøy (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Åkra are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Flekkerøy. This match finished 1-4.

Åkra vs Flekkerøy Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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