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Madla vs Odd II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:00

Madla

PPG 2.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDW

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Odd II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.79 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.6%0-20.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.9%1-12.4%1-21.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.3%2 2-03.8%2-14.9%2-23.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.2%3-16.8%3-24.4%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-015.9%4+-120.7%4+-213.5%4+-35.9%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.1% 82.0% 1.22 -14.5%

Draw 14.7% 16.7% 6.00 -7.1%

Away win 15.2% 13.3% 7.50 +8.4%

Over 2.5 83.0% 80.0% 1.25 +3.8%

Over 3.5 59.4% 62.1% 1.61 -4.4%

BTTS 63.5% 64.5% 1.55 -1.6%

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 40.0% 27.9% 3.58 +43.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.5%

H 70% / xG 4.1-1.3 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.9%

#2 3–1 6.8%

#3 2–2 3.2%

#4 5–1 5.7%

#5 4–0✓ 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Madla4.1

Odd II1.3

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.0% · O3.5 PROB 59.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MADLA · PPG 2.50

ODD II · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.79 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Madla (H) 70.1%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -14.5%

Draw 14.7%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV -7.1%

Odd II (A) 15.2%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Madla face Odd II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Madla a 70% chance, the draw 15% and Odd II 15%, so Madla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for Madla and 1.3 for Odd II (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Madla are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Odd II. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +43.2%. This match finished 4-0.

Madla vs Odd II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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