Leagues / NORWAY / 3. Division - Girone 3

3. Division - Girone 3

NORWAY · 53 MATCHES TRACKED · 22 MAY 2026 – 31 AUG 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 47 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

46.8%

1X2

22/47

80.9%

O/U 2.5

38/47

74.5%

BTTS

35/47

36.2%

Exact score

17/47

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

50.0%

Hit rate

1/2

1.31

Avg odds

-37.5%

ROI

-0.8u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.37 · -100.0% ROI

OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.25 · +25.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+25.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

Match log

47 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 12 HIT · 3 MISS

31 AUG Fana vs Brann II HO1.5 2–2 HIT 31 AUG Åsane II vs Sogndal II Over 2.5 4–3 HIT 30 AUG Fyllingsdalen vs Austevoll Over 2.5 0–1 MISS 30 AUG Askøy vs Gneist Home 2–0 HIT 30 AUG Varegg vs Djerv Over 2.5 1–2 HIT 30 AUG Vard vs Os Over 2.5 1–2 HIT 30 AUG Førde vs Stord HO1.5 1–1 MISS 18 AUG Sogndal II vs Varegg Over 2.5 3–1 HIT 17 AUG Stord vs Åsane II Over 2.5 2–2 HIT 17 AUG Brann II vs Os Over 2.5 +3% 1–3 HIT 15 AUG Gneist vs Førde Over 2.5 -8% 1–2 HIT 15 AUG Austevoll vs Vard Over 2.5 2–1 HIT 15 AUG Varegg vs Askøy BTTS 1–3 HIT 15 AUG Djerv vs Fyllingsdalen HO1.5 3–0 HIT 15 AUG Sogndal II vs Fana HO1.5 1–3 MISS