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Askøy vs Gneist Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Askøy

PPG 2.25 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Gneist

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.98 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.2%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.7%1-16.2%1-22.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.7%2-18.6%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.9%3-18.0%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-013.6%4+-110.9%4+-24.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.1% — — —

Draw 16.1% — — —

Away win 13.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 23.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 10.7%

#2 3–0 9.9%

#3 2–1 8.6%

#4 1–1 6.2%

#5 3–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Askøy2.8

Gneist0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ASKØY · PPG 2.25

GNEIST · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.98 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Askøy (H) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gneist (A) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Askøy face Gneist in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Askøy a 70% chance, the draw 16% and Gneist 14%, so Askøy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Askøy and 0.8 for Gneist (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Askøy are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.57 for Gneist. This match finished 2-0.

Askøy vs Gneist Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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