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Fyllingsdalen vs Austevoll Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Fyllingsdalen

PPG 0.62 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Austevoll

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.9%0-25.8%0-34.6%0-4+4.8%1 1-03.1%1-17.3%1-28.7%1-36.9%1-4+7.3%2 2-02.3%2-15.5%2-26.6%2-35.2%2-4+5.5%3 3-01.2%3-12.8%3-23.3%3-32.6%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.5%4+-21.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.2% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 55.7% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.7%

#2 1–1 7.3%

#3 1–3 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fyllingsdalen1.5

Austevoll2.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FYLLINGSDALEN · PPG 0.62

AUSTEVOLL · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.88 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Fyllingsdalen (H) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austevoll (A) 55.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fyllingsdalen face Austevoll in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fyllingsdalen a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Austevoll 56%, so Austevoll are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fyllingsdalen and 2.4 for Austevoll (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fyllingsdalen are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 1.50 for Austevoll. This match finished 0-1.

Fyllingsdalen vs Austevoll Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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