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Djerv vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Djerv

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fyllingsdalen

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.67 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-11.1%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.1%1-13.9%1-21.5%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.8%2-16.8%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.1%3-17.8%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-020.9%4+-116.0%4+-26.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.5% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 70.7% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 19%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.5%

H 76% / xG 3.4-0.8 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.1%

#2 2–0 8.8%

#3 4–0 8.7%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Djerv3.4

Fyllingsdalen0.8

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DJERV · PPG 2.00

FYLLINGSDALEN · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.67 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Djerv (H) 76.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fyllingsdalen (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Djerv face Fyllingsdalen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Djerv a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Fyllingsdalen 8%, so Djerv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Djerv and 0.8 for Fyllingsdalen (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Djerv are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.14 for Fyllingsdalen.

Djerv vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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