Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 / Fana vs Brann II

Fana vs Brann II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:00

Fana

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Brann II

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.9% vs bookmaker-implied 78.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.8%0-21.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.1%1-15.1%1-24.2%1-32.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.4%2-17.3%2-26.1%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.2%3-17.0%3-25.9%3-33.2%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-110.3%4+-28.5%4+-34.7%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.0% 66.7% 1.50 -8.5%

Draw 16.1% 20.0% 5.00 -11.7%

Away win 22.8% 24.4% 4.10 -3.9%

Over 2.5 72.7% 82.0% 1.22 -11.3%

Over 3.5 53.9% 65.8% 1.52 -18.1%

BTTS 67.8% 78.1% 1.28 -13.2%

Home O1.5 77.9% 78.7% 1.27 -1.1%

Away O1.5 47.9% 48.1% 2.08 -0.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob67.8%

H 61% / xG 2.9-1.7 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.3%

#2 3–1 7.0%

#3 3–2 5.9%

#4 2–2✓ 6.1%

#5 1–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fana2.9

Brann II1.7

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FANA · PPG 2.00

BRANN II · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.22 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Fana (H) 61.0%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -8.5%

Draw 16.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -11.7%

Brann II (A) 22.8%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -3.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fana face Brann II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fana a 61% chance, the draw 16% and Brann II 23%, so Fana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Fana and 1.7 for Brann II (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fana are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.12 for Brann II. The best value bet our model finds is TT_AwayO25, with an expected value of +2.2%. This match finished 2-2.

Fana vs Brann II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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