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Åsane II vs Sogndal II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:00

Åsane II

PPG 0.43 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDW

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sogndal II

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.4%0-25.3%0-34.2%0-4+4.4%1 1-03.0%1-17.1%1-28.4%1-36.7%1-4+7.1%2 2-02.4%2-15.7%2-26.8%2-35.4%2-4+5.7%3 3-01.3%3-13.0%3-23.6%3-32.9%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.7%4+-22.1%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 50.3% — — —

Over 2.5 68.4% — — —

Over 3.5 46.5% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 47.9% — — —

Away O1.5 69.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.1%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 2–1 5.7%

#5 1–3 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Åsane II1.6

Sogndal II2.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ÅSANE II · PPG 0.43

SOGNDAL II · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.78 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Åsane II (H) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sogndal II (A) 50.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Åsane II face Sogndal II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Åsane II a 28% chance, the draw 21% and Sogndal II 50%, so Sogndal II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Åsane II and 2.4 for Sogndal II (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Åsane II are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 1.75 for Sogndal II. This match finished 4-3.

Åsane II vs Sogndal II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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