Leagues / NORWAY / 3. Division - Girone 1

3. Division - Girone 1

NORWAY · 15 MATCHES TRACKED · 23 MAY 2026 – 6 JUN 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 15 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

46.7%

1X2

7/15

80.0%

O/U 2.5

12/15

66.7%

BTTS

10/15

33.3%

Exact score

5/15

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

66.7%

Hit rate

6/9

1.25

Avg odds

-14.4%

ROI

-1.3u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=4 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.28 · +27.8% ROI

HOME O1.5 · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.15 · -61.7% ROI

AWAY O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · +44.0% ROI

BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.22 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+33.3%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

50%

Hit

-38.3%

ROI

Match log

15 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

June 2026 // 1 PICK · 1 HIT · 0 MISS

6 JUN Valerenga B vs Nordstrand Over 2.5 -10% 3–2 HIT

May 2026 // 14 PICKS · 9 HIT · 5 MISS

31 MAY Lokomotiv Oslo vs Valerenga B BTTS +22% 0–1 MISS 30 MAY Heming vs Union Carl Bern Over 2.5 2–0 MISS 30 MAY IF Ready vs Asker Over 2.5 -7% 2–2 HIT 30 MAY Nordstrand vs KFUM B HO1.5 2–2 HIT 30 MAY Ullern vs Konnerud Over 2.5 2–1 HIT 30 MAY Baerum vs Grei HO1.5 5–0 HIT 30 MAY Gamle Oslo vs Frigg HO1.5 1–3 MISS 25 MAY Valerenga B vs Heming AO1.5 1–6 HIT 25 MAY Konnerud vs Lokomotiv Oslo HO1.5 4–3 HIT 25 MAY Asker vs Gamle Oslo HO1.5 0–4 MISS 25 MAY Union Carl Bern vs Ullern HO1.5 1–0 MISS 23 MAY IF Ready vs Baerum Over 2.5 -12% 4–2 HIT 23 MAY Frigg vs Nordstrand Over 2.5 +1% 1–2 HIT 23 MAY Grei vs KFUM B BTTS 2–3 HIT