Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Gamle Oslo vs Konnerud

Gamle Oslo vs Konnerud Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Gamle Oslo

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Konnerud

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.4%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.4%1-11.9%1-21.2%1-30.5%1-4+0.2%2 2-03.1%2-14.1%2-22.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.6%3-16.1%3-24.0%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-017.1%4+-122.7%4+-215.0%4+-36.6%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.5% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 82.1% — — —

Over 3.5 64.7% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -35.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.3%

H 76% / xG 4.4-1.3 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.7%

#2 3–1 6.1%

#3 5–1 6.0%

#4 4–0 5.1%

#5 3–0 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gamle Oslo4.4

Konnerud1.3

COMBINED 5.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GAMLE OSLO · PPG 2.00

KONNERUD · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.09 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.38 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gamle Oslo (H) 76.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Konnerud (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gamle Oslo face Konnerud in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gamle Oslo a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Konnerud 8%, so Gamle Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.4 for Gamle Oslo and 1.3 for Konnerud (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gamle Oslo are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.38 for Konnerud.

Gamle Oslo vs Konnerud Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 Predictions