Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / KFUM II vs Nordstrand

KFUM II vs Nordstrand Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 17:00

KFUM II

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nordstrand

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.2%0-23.1%0-32.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-03.6%1-17.0%1-26.7%1-34.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.9%2-17.6%2-27.3%2-34.6%2-4+3.4%3 3-02.9%3-15.5%3-25.3%3-33.4%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-15.0%4+-24.8%4+-33.0%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 34.1% — — —

Over 2.5 71.6% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 85%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -35.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.4%

H 44% / xG 2.2-1.9 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.0%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFUM II2.2

Nordstrand1.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KFUM II · PPG 1.43

NORDSTRAND · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

KFUM II (H) 44.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nordstrand (A) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KFUM II face Nordstrand in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFUM II a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Nordstrand 34%, so KFUM II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for KFUM II and 1.9 for Nordstrand (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFUM II are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.29 for Nordstrand.

KFUM II vs Nordstrand Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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