Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / IF Ready vs Gamle Oslo

IF Ready vs Gamle Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

IF Ready logo
IF Ready
PPG 1.88 · HOME
LAST 5
DLDLL
2 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Gamle Oslo logo
Gamle Oslo
PPG 2.14 · AWAY
LAST 5
WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 75.5% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.5%0-22.8%0-32.1%0-4+2.0%1 1-02.5%1-15.6%1-26.3%1-34.8%1-4+4.6%2 2-02.8%2-16.3%2-27.1%2-35.4%2-4+5.2%3 3-02.1%3-14.7%3-25.3%3-34.0%3-4+3.9%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-14.5%4+-25.1%4+-33.8%4+-4+3.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.8% 33.3% 3.00 +10.4%
Draw 19.4% 26.3% 3.80 -15.8%
Away win 43.7% 54.1% 1.85 -19.1%
Over 2.5 75.5% 80.0% 1.25 -5.6%
Over 3.5 56.2% 65.8% 1.52 -14.6%
BTTS 69.6% 80.0% 1.25 -13.0%
Home O1.5 65.8% 59.5% 1.68 +10.5%
Away O1.5 67.8% 73.5% 1.36 -7.8%

League track record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5 85%
BTTS 81%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -35.5%
Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob69.6%

A 44% / xG 2.3-2.3 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 6.3%
#2 2–2 7.1%
#3 2–3 5.4%
#4 1–1 5.6%
#5 2–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Ready2.3
Gamle Oslo2.3

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.5% · O3.5 PROB 56.2%

Form & verdict PPG

IF READY · PPG 1.88

GAMLE OSLO · PPG 2.14

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

IF Ready (H) 36.8%
ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +10.4%
Draw 19.4%
ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -15.8%
Gamle Oslo (A) 43.7%
ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -19.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Ready face Gamle Oslo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Ready a 37% chance, the draw 19% and Gamle Oslo 44%, so Gamle Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for IF Ready and 2.3 for Gamle Oslo (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Ready are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 2.14 for Gamle Oslo. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +21.2%. This match finished 2-3.

PredictVantage

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