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Ullern vs Gamle Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Ullern

PPG 0.57 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Gamle Oslo

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 77.8% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.6%0-24.2%0-34.5%0-4+7.9%1 1-01.3%1-14.2%1-26.7%1-37.2%1-4+12.8%2 2-01.1%2-13.4%2-25.4%2-35.8%2-4+10.2%3 3-00.6%3-11.8%3-22.9%3-33.1%3-4+5.5%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-11.0%4+-21.7%4+-31.8%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.3% 30.3% 3.30 -15.8%

Draw 15.3% 22.2% 4.50 -18.7%

Away win 62.3% 58.8% 1.70 +5.9%

Over 2.5 73.0% 83.3% 1.20 -12.4%

Over 3.5 53.3% 67.6% 1.48 -21.1%

BTTS 69.6% 82.6% 1.21 -15.8%

Home O1.5 47.5% 57.5% 1.74 -17.3%

Away O1.5 77.8% 78.1% 1.28 -0.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -35.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob69.6%

A 62% / xG 1.6-3.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.2%

#2 1–2 6.7%

#3 2–3 5.8%

#4 1–4 5.7%

#5 2–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ullern1.6

Gamle Oslo3.2

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ULLERN · PPG 0.57

GAMLE OSLO · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.59 for Away, form 0.57 vs 2.00

Win probability 1X2

Ullern (H) 22.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -15.8%

Draw 15.3%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -18.7%

Gamle Oslo (A) 62.3%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV +5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ullern face Gamle Oslo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ullern a 22% chance, the draw 15% and Gamle Oslo 62%, so Gamle Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ullern and 3.2 for Gamle Oslo (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ullern are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 2.00 for Gamle Oslo. This match finished 2-5.

Ullern vs Gamle Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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