Leagues / NETHERLANDS / Tweede Divisie
Tweede Divisie
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 29 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
72.4%
1X2
21/29
69.0%
O/U 2.5
20/29
55.2%
BTTS
16/29
27.6%
Exact score
8/29
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
22
Settled
86.4%
Hit rate
19/22
1.46
Avg odds
+27.0%
ROI
+5.9u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=12 83.3% HIT · AVG 1.40 · +16.5% ROI
BTTS · N=7 85.7% HIT · AVG 1.42 · +22.1% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.50 · +50.5% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.40 · +140.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+44.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
80%
Hit
+29.6%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
16
Bets
88%
Hit
+25.1%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 13 HIT · 2 MISS
23 MAY Barendrecht vs E. Maassluis Over 2.5 -8% 1–2 HIT23 MAY Rijnsburgse B. vs RKAV Volendam Over 2.5 -18% 7–0 HIT23 MAY Kozakken Boys vs Quick Boys Over 2.5 -6% 1–2 HIT23 MAY Koninklijke HFC vs Spakenburg BTTS -10% 3–2 HIT23 MAY Katwijk vs Jong Sparta BTTS -16% 4–1 HIT23 MAY De Treffers vs HSV Hoek BTTS -24% 2–2 HIT16 MAY HSV Hoek vs Rijnsburgse B. Over 2.5 -13% 2–0 MISS16 MAY Spakenburg vs Katwijk Over 2.5 2–1 HIT16 MAY RKAV Volendam vs Barendrecht Over 2.5 -11% 5–2 HIT16 MAY Quick Boys vs IJsselmeerv. Over 2.5 -1% 2–2 HIT16 MAY Jong Sparta vs De Treffers Over 2.5 -15% 1–4 HIT16 MAY E. Maassluis vs Jong Almere C. Over 2.5 -5% 0–1 MISS9 MAY Rijnsburgse B. vs Jong Sparta Over 2.5 -13% 4–2 HIT9 MAY Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek BTTS -15% 4–2 HIT9 MAY Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC Over 2.5 -14% 4–0 HIT