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Ijsselmeervogels vs Quick Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Ijsselmeervogels

PPG 1.37 · HOME

LAST 5

WLD ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Quick Boys

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-17.9%0-27.1%0-34.2%0-4+2.8%1 1-05.9%1-110.5%1-29.4%1-35.6%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.9%2-17.0%2-26.2%2-33.7%2-4+2.5%3 3-01.7%3-13.1%3-22.8%3-31.6%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.9% 27.8% 3.60 +2.4%

Draw 25.3% 28.6% 3.50 -6.9%

Away win 45.8% 57.1% 1.75 -19.9%

Over 2.5 53.9% 62.5% 1.60 -13.8%

Over 3.5 36.3% 41.2% 2.43 -11.8%

BTTS 54.7% 63.7% 1.57 -14.1%

Home O1.5 37.8% 37.3% 2.68 +1.3%

Away O1.5 48.5% 59.9% 1.67 -19.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.7%

A 46% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 2–1 7.0%

#4 0–2 7.1%

#5 0–1✓ 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ijsselmeervogels1.3

Quick Boys1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.3%

Form & verdict PPG

IJSSELMEERVOGELS · PPG 1.37

QUICK BOYS · PPG 1.79

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ijsselmeervogels (H) 28.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +2.4%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.9%

Quick Boys (A) 45.8%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -19.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ijsselmeervogels face Quick Boys in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ijsselmeervogels a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Quick Boys 46%, so Quick Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ijsselmeervogels and 1.8 for Quick Boys (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ijsselmeervogels are averaging 1.37 points per game versus 1.79 for Quick Boys. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +18.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Ijsselmeervogels vs Quick Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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