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Sparta Rotterdam II vs HHC Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Sparta Rotterdam II

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WWL ··

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

HHC

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.2%0-22.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.4%1-17.3%1-26.1%1-33.3%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.1%2-18.4%2-26.9%2-33.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.9%3-16.4%3-25.3%3-32.9%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-16.3%4+-25.2%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% 40.0% 2.50 +26.5%

Draw 21.2% 26.7% 3.75 -12.3%

Away win 28.1% 45.5% 2.20 -22.9%

Over 2.5 68.2% 73.5% 1.36 -7.2%

Over 3.5 48.2% 54.3% 1.84 -11.3%

BTTS 63.1% 75.2% 1.33 -16.1%

Home O1.5 65.8% 57.5% 1.74 +14.5%

Away O1.5 47.9% 61.3% 1.63 -21.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.1%

H 51% / xG 2.3-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.4%

#2 1–1 7.3%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–2 6.1%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta Rotterdam II2.3

HHC1.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA ROTTERDAM II · PPG 1.75

HHC · PPG 1.73

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sparta Rotterdam II (H) 50.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +26.5%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -12.3%

HHC (A) 28.1%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -22.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta Rotterdam II face HHC in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta Rotterdam II a 51% chance, the draw 21% and HHC 28%, so Sparta Rotterdam II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sparta Rotterdam II and 1.7 for HHC (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta Rotterdam II are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.73 for HHC. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +34.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Sparta Rotterdam II vs HHC Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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